San Antonio scenarios A, B, C
Adopted FY2026 is scenario A. B holds the estimated year (FY2025). C trims ledger offices and holds the total. Upload a proposed book, edit departments, then read the simulation against estimated and FY2024 actuals.
| Department | Adopted FY2026 | FY2025 est. | FY2024 actual | Scenario A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Police | $663.5M | — | — | |
| Fire | $434.59M | — | — | |
| Debt Service | $326.41M | — | — | |
| Public Works | $179.47M | — | — | |
| Convention & Sports Facilities | $96.96M | — | — | |
| Parks & Recreation | $91.69M | — | — | |
| Human Services | $83.52M | — | — | |
| Health | $79.93M | — | — | |
| Pre-K 4 SA | $59.12M | — | — | |
| Contribution to Other Agencies | $58.31M | — | — | |
| Library | $57.11M | — | — | |
| Airport | $56.48M | — | — | |
| Neighborhood and Housing Services | $47.68M | — | — | |
| SA: Ready to Work | $46.38M | — | — | |
| Animal Care Services | $33.81M | — | — | |
| Non-Departmental/Non-Operating | $29.09M | — | — | |
| Parks Police | $20.43M | — | — | |
| Code Enforcement Services | $18.71M | — | — | |
| Economic Development | $18.41M | — | — | |
| Finance | $18.13M | — | — | |
| Mayor & Council | $17.46M | — | — | |
| Municipal Courts | $16.92M | — | — | |
| Center City Development & Operations | $14.79M | — | — | |
| City Attorney | $12.62M | — | — | |
| Other Funds | $12.61M | — | — | |
| Homeless Services and Strategy | $12.39M | — | — | |
| Communications & Engagement | $10.2M | — | — | |
| Human Resources | $9.7M | — | — | |
| City Clerk | $6.6M | — | — | |
| Arrestee Processing Center | $5.38M | — | — | |
| 311 Customer Service | $5.26M | — | — | |
| Transportation | $4.89M | — | — | |
| Arts & Culture | $4.79M | — | — | |
| Planning | $4.42M | — | — | |
| City Manager | $4.34M | — | — | |
| Resiliency & Sustainability | $4.31M | — | — | |
| Management & Budget | $3.6M | — | — | |
| City Auditor | $3.51M | — | — | |
| Historic Preservation | $3.4M | — | — | |
| World Heritage | $3.17M | — | — | |
| Compliance Opportunity and Access | $2.69M | — | — | |
| Government Affairs | $1.63M | — | — | |
| Integrated Community Safety Office | $1.56M | — | — | |
| Innovation | $1.55M | — | — | |
| Municipal Elections | $1.39M | — | — | |
| Military & Veterans Affairs | $725.17K | — | — | |
| Development Services | $475.2K | — | — | |
| Building and Equipment Services | $417.64K | — | — | |
| Capital Delivery Department | $0 | — | — | |
| Information Technology Services | $0 | — | — | |
| Self-Insurance | $0 | — | — | |
| Solid Waste Management | $0 | — | — |
Simulated results vs estimated
Each scenario is scored against the estimated year the city already printed. When actuals exist, MAPE says which book would have been closer — and learned department biases project the next year.
| Metric | A · Adopted FY2026 | B · Across-the-board −3% | C · Hold total · trim ledger offices |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total | $2.59B | $2.51B | $2.59B |
| Vs estimated | — | — | — |
| Vs adopted | 0% | -3% | 0% |
| Top 3 concentration | 55% | 55% | 56% |
| Largest increase | Police 0% | Capital Delivery Department 0% | Police +2.8% |
| Largest cut | Police 0% | Police -3% | Public Works -9% |
| MAPE vs actuals (hindsight) | needs actuals | needs actuals | needs actuals |
| Projected actual (learned) | — | — | — |
- Top 3 departments hold 55% of this scenario. Concentration is not waste, but it is where a bad year hides.
- Top 3 departments hold 55% of this scenario. Concentration is not waste, but it is where a bad year hides.
- Top 3 departments hold 56% of this scenario. Concentration is not waste, but it is where a bad year hides.
Learning starts when actuals land
This city's extract does not yet include a closed actuals year beside the estimate. The simulator still compares A/B/C to adopted and estimated; the learning loop turns on as soon as actuals are in the book.
$1,500 / month on mapped cities
Upload as many proposed books as you run through council. We keep the scenarios, score them when estimated and actuals move, and the model tightens. This preview runs in the browser on the extract we already hold; the paid feed stores the city's own proposed files.